warfareTargeted Leadership StrikeTehran, Iransupported 68.8

Israeli strikes kill Ali Larijani and Basij chief in Iran

Iranian state media and international outlets reported that Israeli strikes killed Ali Larijani and Gen. Gholam Reza Soleimani, the commander of the Basij militia, during a new wave of attacks tied to the 2026 Iran war. The incident marked a high-level leadership decapitation strike inside Iran's wartime command environment.

curated-2026second-waveiranisraelwartargeted-strikeleadership-killingbasij

Published

3/17/2026

Current public event date

Source base

3 sources

Evidence records attached to this event

Actor field

4 ranked

3 primary / 1 structural

Incident links

1

Analyses connected to this incident

Editorial note

Curated from the user-submitted Iran war reporting bundle and supporting wire coverage.

Event harm

76.6

Overall event-level harm score

Top culpability

56.8

Israeli wartime leadership

Confidence

68.8

How stable the current public reading is

Top responsibility

74.2

Highest primary responsibility before event harm is applied

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Current harm

76.6

The live event-harm score on this post

Current confidence

68.8

How stable the current public reading is

Source base

3

Public sources currently attached to this event

Event harm

Harm context

The public harm score is grounded in who bears the harm, what protections are in play, and the broader social fallout.

Who is harmed

Civilians and communities exposed to the strike, raid, or conflict action.

Rights or laws at risk

The right to life, bodily integrity, civilian protection, and access to education or medical care are implicated.

Societal impact

The event can intensify insecurity in Tehran, Iran, raise the risk of retaliation or escalation, and widen civilian harm over time.

Overview

Highest ranked primary actor

Start with the strongest direct attribution before moving into the wider field and structural enablers.

Israeli wartime leadership

Rank #1 with the highest weighted culpability in the current public reading.

Culpability

56.8

Weighted contribution

Confidence

72.0

Attribution stability

Rank #1AuthorizerofficeIsrael

Israeli wartime leadership

Ranked in the public field as a authorizer with a current responsibility band of substantial.

supported 72.0

Responsibility

74.2

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

56.8

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

72.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

1

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

A strike of this visibility and political sensitivity likely required authorization from Israel's wartime leadership rather than only field-level discretion.

1 evidence link

Chart views

Score breakdown

Switch between ranked culpability, top-actor dimension mix, contribution balance, and revision timeline.

Ranked actors

4

Actors represented in the ladder and contribution views.

Top actor

Israeli wartime leadership

Highest-ranked primary actor in the current public reading.

Revisions

21

Live revisions contributing to the timeline chart.

Active chart

Ladder

Current visualization mode.

Ranked field

Other primary actors

These actors sit in the direct chain of authorship, authorization, interpretation, planning, or execution.

Rank #2Executormilitary unitIsrael

Israeli strike cell

Ranked in the public field as a executor with a current responsibility band of substantial.

supported 76.0

Responsibility

69.0

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

52.9

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

76.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

2

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

The operational unit that carried out the strike holds the clearest direct responsibility for the killings because it executed the lethal action inside Iran.

2 evidence links
Rank #3PlanneragencyIsrael

Israeli targeting planners

Ranked in the public field as a planner with a current responsibility band of substantial.

supported 64.0

Responsibility

66.4

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

50.9

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

64.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

1

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

Targeted leadership strikes depend on intelligence selection and pre-strike planning, which makes the planning layer materially responsible even when the public reporting centers on the final strike.

1 evidence link

Structural layer

Systemic enablers

These actors do not sit at the direct command or execution layer, but they materially fund, normalize, or otherwise enable the event chain.

Rank #4Fundercitizen groupSystemic enablerIsrael

Israeli public funding base

Shown in the structural layer as a funder with a current responsibility band of negligible.

supported 63.0

Responsibility

14.8

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

11.3

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

63.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

1

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

Israeli taxpayers did not directly choose the strike, but public revenue materially funds the wartime apparatus that made the operation possible, so this actor is shown only as a structural funder.

1 evidence link