administrativePersona Non Grata OrderBeirut, Lebanonsupported 74.0

Lebanon orders Iran's ambassador to leave the country

Lebanon's Foreign Ministry declared Iran's ambassador persona non grata and ordered him to leave the country, escalating Beirut's effort to curb Tehran's influence amid regional instability and domestic backlash. The move triggered condemnation from Hezbollah and deepened the diplomatic rupture.

curated-2026fifth-wavelebanonirandiplomacyforeign-policypersona-non-grata

Published

3/24/2026

Current public event date

Source base

1 sources

Evidence records attached to this event

Actor field

2 ranked

Actors currently scored in public view

Incident links

1

Analyses connected to this incident

Editorial note

Curated from AP reporting on Lebanon's order expelling Iran's ambassador and the resulting political escalation.

Event harm

60.4

Overall event-level harm score

Top culpability

42.2

Lebanese Foreign Ministry leadership

Confidence

74.0

How stable the current public reading is

Top responsibility

69.8

Highest primary responsibility before event harm is applied

Challenge the reading

Reassess the event harm from new evidence

Paste a fresh article, copied source text, or a correction note and compare a new harm estimate against the current public score before saving a pending revision.

Current harm

60.4

The live event-harm score on this post

Current confidence

74.0

How stable the current public reading is

Source base

1

Public sources currently attached to this event

Event harm

Harm context

The public harm score is grounded in who bears the harm, what protections are in play, and the broader social fallout.

Who is harmed

Lebanese civilians caught in a widening regional confrontation, diplomatic communities, and groups dependent on already fragile political and security channels.

Rights or laws at risk

Political stability, civilian safety, and confidence that diplomatic disputes will be handled without escalating broader regional conflict.

Societal impact

The expulsion deepens regional polarization, hardens the Lebanon-Iran rupture, and can increase the risk that political conflict spills into security or humanitarian harm.

Overview

Highest ranked primary actor

Start with the strongest direct attribution before moving into the wider field and structural enablers.

Lebanese Foreign Ministry leadership

Rank #1 with the highest weighted culpability in the current public reading.

Culpability

42.2

Weighted contribution

Confidence

80.0

Attribution stability

Rank #1AuthorizerofficeLebanon

Lebanese Foreign Ministry leadership

Ranked in the public field as a authorizer with a current responsibility band of meaningful.

stable 80.0

Responsibility

69.8

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

42.2

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

80.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

1

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

The Foreign Ministry directly ordered the ambassador's removal and therefore carries the clearest authorizing role for the diplomatic escalation.

1 evidence link

Chart views

Score breakdown

Switch between ranked culpability, top-actor dimension mix, contribution balance, and revision timeline.

Ranked actors

2

Actors represented in the ladder and contribution views.

Top actor

Lebanese Foreign Ministry leadership

Highest-ranked primary actor in the current public reading.

Revisions

7

Live revisions contributing to the timeline chart.

Active chart

Ladder

Current visualization mode.

Ranked field

Other primary actors

These actors sit in the direct chain of authorship, authorization, interpretation, planning, or execution.

Rank #2OriginatorofficeLebanon

Lebanese governing coalition security leadership

Ranked in the public field as a originator with a current responsibility band of meaningful.

supported 68.0

Responsibility

57.2

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

34.6

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

68.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

1

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

The broader Lebanese leadership that backed the move bears originator responsibility for choosing a coercive diplomatic escalation in an already unstable regional environment.

1 evidence link