otherJoint Security OperationEcuadorsupported 70.3

U.S.-Ecuador operation targets organized crime groups

The United States and Ecuador launched a joint military operation directed at organized crime groups, expanding security cooperation in a domestic conflict setting. The operation raised classic questions about foreign military assistance, shared responsibility, and cross-border control of force.

curated-2026second-waveecuadorunited-statesorganized-crimemilitary-operationsecurity-cooperation

Published

3/4/2026

Current public event date

Source base

1 sources

Evidence records attached to this event

Actor field

3 ranked

2 primary / 1 structural

Incident links

1

Analyses connected to this incident

Editorial note

Curated from reporting on the joint U.S.-Ecuador security operation.

Event harm

63.2

Overall event-level harm score

Top culpability

42.5

Ecuadorian security leadership

Confidence

70.3

How stable the current public reading is

Top responsibility

67.2

Highest primary responsibility before event harm is applied

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Current harm

63.2

The live event-harm score on this post

Current confidence

70.3

How stable the current public reading is

Source base

1

Public sources currently attached to this event

Event harm

Harm context

The public harm score is grounded in who bears the harm, what protections are in play, and the broader social fallout.

Who is harmed

The people, communities, or institutions whose safety, rights, or daily conditions are changed by the event.

Rights or laws at risk

Core legal protections, civil rights, and the practical safeguards people rely on may be weakened or reshaped.

Societal impact

The event can have lasting ripple effects on trust, safety, and how communities in Ecuador understand the institutions around them.

Overview

Highest ranked primary actor

Start with the strongest direct attribution before moving into the wider field and structural enablers.

Ecuadorian security leadership

Rank #1 with the highest weighted culpability in the current public reading.

Culpability

42.5

Weighted contribution

Confidence

76.0

Attribution stability

Rank #1AuthorizerofficeEcuador

Ecuadorian security leadership

Ranked in the public field as a authorizer with a current responsibility band of meaningful.

supported 76.0

Responsibility

67.2

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

42.5

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

76.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

1

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

Because the operation took place in Ecuadorian territory, Quito's security leadership holds the top authorizing role in the joint action.

1 evidence link

Chart views

Score breakdown

Switch between ranked culpability, top-actor dimension mix, contribution balance, and revision timeline.

Ranked actors

3

Actors represented in the ladder and contribution views.

Top actor

Ecuadorian security leadership

Highest-ranked primary actor in the current public reading.

Revisions

13

Live revisions contributing to the timeline chart.

Active chart

Ladder

Current visualization mode.

Ranked field

Other primary actors

These actors sit in the direct chain of authorship, authorization, interpretation, planning, or execution.

Rank #2Plannermilitary unitUnited States

U.S. military support planners

Ranked in the public field as a planner with a current responsibility band of meaningful.

supported 72.0

Responsibility

59.6

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

37.7

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

72.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

1

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

The U.S. side materially shaped the operation by supplying planning and support, giving it clear secondary responsibility inside the joint mission.

1 evidence link

Structural layer

Systemic enablers

These actors do not sit at the direct command or execution layer, but they materially fund, normalize, or otherwise enable the event chain.

Rank #3Fundercitizen groupSystemic enablerUnited States

U.S. public funding base

Shown in the structural layer as a funder with a current responsibility band of negligible.

supported 63.0

Responsibility

14.8

Actor-level role score before event harm is applied.

Culpability

9.4

Final contribution after event harm weighting.

Confidence

63.0

Current stability of the attribution.

Evidence links

1

Attached source links for this actor.

Why this actor is ranked here

Because the U.S. side of the mission depended on publicly funded military support, the domestic public funding base is included as a structural enabler of the operation.

1 evidence link